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Super League – Leeds vs Warrington Betting Preview

The 2016 Super League season gets underway on Thursday night when the defending champions Leeds Rhinos begin their title defence against the Warrington Wolves on a potentially special night at Headingley.

Leeds completed an unprecedented treble last season but that has gone now and they will be focused on defending their titles as well as they possibly can now that the season is about to get going.

A new era will begin at the Rhinos in this match. Two huge figures have departed since last season with the retirements of Kevin Sinfield and Jamie Peacock and it will be interesting to see how closely they have managed to get replacements in for those two. You can’t replace them like for like so Leeds will have lost some sort of edge.

Warrington go into the new campaign with plenty to prove after a really disappointing year in 2015. They have signed accordingly it has to be said but I guess the fruits of their labour will depend on how quickly the many new signings can gel.

Kurt Gidley and Tom Lineham are eye catching signings for the Wolves and if the pre-season has allowed Chris Sandow to get his style across to the side then Warrington can do big things this season.

Leeds have signed Brett Ferres from Huddersfield while Danny Maguire begins his permanent captaincy of the side. He will need a big match and a big season for the Rhinos but he’s a class act and we can’t rule that out.

I think this will be a good one to open the season up with. Leeds are out to prove there is life after Sinfield and Peacock while Warrington are out to prove there is still life in them full stop so something will have to give in the match.

I don’t think Leeds will be as good this season but that is understandable. I doubt they could have repeated their treble win even if Sinfield and Peacock were still around but we shouldn’t forget that in Hardaker, Hall, Moon, Briscoe, Burrow, Maguire and Cuthbertson they still have some massive players and we shouldn’t write them off totally.

I’ve a sneaky feeling that Warrington have nothing to lose and that will suit them in this match but I’m wary and respectful of Leeds’ home record so I’ll start the season off with a nice handicap on the Wolves rather than taking them on the nose.

Back Warrington (+8) to beat Leeds for a 4/10 stake at 1.80 with Ladbrokes


I haven’t written any Super League season previews because there isn’t really any prices that standout to me just yet. There has been a lot of personnel turnover in the winter which is tough to gauge who has come out of that well but we get a bit of a break in a couple of weeks for the World Club Challenge and I’ll delve deeper into the outright markets then and after a couple of weeks to assess how everyone is playing hopefully we will be able to take advantage of any overreactions then.

German Masters Snooker – Day 2 Betting Preview

The German Masters continues on Thursday with three more sessions of excellent action on the green baize as the first round concludes and the second round gets underway on another busy day in the Tempodrom in Berlin.

The opening day on Wednesday saw a number of one sided wins while there was also a couple of shocks as Mark Williams and Shaun Murphy headed for the flight home. Judd Trump, Stephen Maguire, Mark Selby and Barry Hawkins cruised into the second round and they all feature again on Thursday’s card.

There are three matches in the morning session with Marco Fu and Mark Allen among those in action although surprisingly neither feature on the main table. That honour goes to Zhao Xintong and Luca Brecel in a battle of the youngsters.

I fancy Marco Fu to see off Kurt Maflin but Mark Allen has had a few problems with Mark Joyce in the past and that could be a banana skin for the Northern Irishman. They’ve met four times and Joyce has won on three occasions so there is something about him which frustrates Allen but I don’t think I can take Joyce as his form hasn’t been brilliant this season it must be said.

Leaving the morning alone I’ll head to the afternoon where the world champion Stuart Bingham is on show on the main table. He takes on a Fergal O’Brien who has already beaten him twice this season but I just sense Bingham’s fortunes might be turning so I’ll leave that one alone.

I’m already on Kyren Wilson outright so I’ve no need to take him and I can’t really find a way in on the Mark King match or the Ian Burns match but there is one match which stands out to me and it comes in the shape of Liang Wenbo.

The Chinese star takes on Ryan Day in the first round and Wenbo has won their last two meetings which were both high profile so that will give him some confidence. I’m not overly surprised by that because if there is anyone who plays more aggressively than Day it is Wenbo.

Liang Wenbo has actually reined himself in a little bit in recent times and we’ve seen the results. He made the final of the UK Championship and he did nothing wrong against John Higgins in The Masters last month but Wenbo is in right good form at the minute.

With that in mind I’m a little surprised that Wenbo isn’t a bit shorter than he is but I think he is playing well enough for us to have confidence in him here especially given his better record over Day.

The evening session sees the second round begin with all those who won on Thursday back in action and the standout match sees Mark Selby taking on Stephen Maguire in the match which is almost sure to be on the main table.

Selby cruised through the first round but you would be hard pressed to make a case for what he beat. In truth Maguire didn’t beat much in Doherty but at least Doherty knows his way around the table enough to have to be beaten rather than give a match away.

Maguire often plays well at this time of year and we’ll find out just what form Selby is in here but I’ve a feeling Maguire might just be underrated in this match. He usually gives as good as he gets against the world number one and if the Championship League counts for anything Maguire has two recent wins over him which might be no bad thing.

This match looks pretty even to me. I get why Selby is the favourite but Maguire is just a touch overpriced and he is getting my money here.

The other three matches in the evening session don’t appear at first glance to yield a betting opportunity. You would expect Judd Trump to whizz past his stablemate Zhang Anda while Barry Hawkins and Martin Gould are warm favourites against Graeme Dott and Ben Woollaston which is probably fair too.

Back L.Wenbo to beat R.Day for a 4/10 stake at 1.91 with Betfred

Back S.Maguire to beat M.Selby for a 4/10 stake at 2.63 with Ladbrokes

Premier League Darts – Week 1 Betting Preview

The First Direct Arena in Leeds is the venue for the opening night of this season’s Premier League Darts event with all 10 players in action in front of a sold out crowd.

Although everyone plays nine matches before Judgement Night a fast start is never a bad thing in this competition as it takes the pressure off. That first win is all important and we’ve seen some big names struggle in this tournament while they go on a lengthy search for it.

The night begins with a clash between Peter Wright and Michael Smith, a match which should be very entertaining. Smith makes his debut in this event in this match so he’s bound to be a little bit nervous which might play into the hands of Wright a little. He’s used to the big stage now and what’s more he craves it and thrives on it.

Wright will be confident of success here. He has won six of their last seven meetings and in truth few of those wins have been close. I’m not sure why Wright has such a good record over Smith because they look evenly matched but maybe Smith has paid the price for missed doubles against Snakebite.

That head to head record has to have something in it but even if it didn’t Smith’s potential nerves and Wright’s confidence from running Taylor so close at the weekend leaves me on the side of the colourful one in the season opener.

Michael van Gerwen is up after that when he faces James Wade and if the weekend is anything to go by this could be a long night for The Machine.

Van Gerwen looked in unstoppable form as he cleaned up at The Masters and if he is anything like that form it is hard to see how Wade keeps close. Wade either has to put plenty on his scoring or he needs van Gerwen to miss plenty of doubles. I’m not sure either will happen.

Wade has only won two of their last 16 meetings and it is hard to see that changing here but the bookmakers are taking no chances on MVG. He’s got to cover a 3.5 leg handicap and while recent history shows he can this is the opening night so that isn’t really for me even though I’d fancy him to cover it more than not.

I guess the match of the night is the Phil Taylor vs Raymond Barneveld match. There is still a buzz in the air when these two meet and the juices still flow even now despite neither being at their absolute best anymore.

The last time the pair met was in the Grand Slam of Darts where Taylor won 16-12 in the semi-final but prior to that Barneveld had won three of their previous four meetings including a double over the multi-time champion of everything in the Premier League last season.

Taylor looked awesome again at the weekend until the pressure really came on him against an opponent who is in his head now. I’m not sure if Barneveld is in Taylor’s head but he could be.

This is almost a freeroll for Barneveld and if he treats it like one and lets the arrers flow he’s a dangerous proposition for Taylor with his game in fairly good touch but there’s too many ifs and buts to be getting too involved here for me.

The penultimate match of the night is a repeat of the World Championship final as Gary Anderson begins his title defence against the man he beat in the Alexandra Palace finale in Adrian Lewis.

Initially I couldn’t really call the winner of this match but I noticed on twitter that Gary Anderson pulled out of a scheduled promo filming slot on the eve of the tournament because of illness and while he is expected to feature here you would think he may not be 100% which is far from ideal.

If Anderson is under the weather then Lewis is just the man to take advantage. He wasn’t far away in that world final but if anything it will have given him that extra fire in his belly to come through this one I am sure.

Including that world final Anderson has won 14 of their last 18 meetings but Lewis appears to be in the better shape going into this one so I’ll have a small punt that he comes through here and gets a bit of revenge for that defeat last month.

Robert Thornton is back in the Premier League this season and his return begins with probably the one match he didn’t want as he faces Dave Chisnall for the second time in the space of a week.

Their first meeting in The Masters on Saturday was quite extraordinary. Thornton led 8-0 and 9-6 but fell to a 10-9 defeat which is sure to have left a sour taste in the mouth of the Scot. Salt was rubbed into the wound as Thornton had to sit back and watch Chisnall cruise all the way to the final of the tournament after dodging that bullet.

You would think that win would have done wonders for Chisnall’s confidence and not much for Thornton’s and in what originally on paper looked an evenish contest that confidence and mentality divide could just sway this firmly in Chisnall’s favour.

Back P.Wright to beat M.Smith for a 4/10 stake at 2.10 with William Hill

Back A.Lewis to beat G.Anderson for a 3/10 stake at 3.30 with Unibet

Back D.Chisnall to beat R.Thornton for a 4/10 stake at 1.95 with Bet365

Waste Management Phoenix Open – Tournament Outright Betting Preview

If you like your golf rowdy and raucous then you are in luck this week as the PGA Tour heads down to Arizona for the Waste Management Phoenix Open at the famous TPC Scottsdale course where the crowds are huge and the beers flow accordingly.

In this atmosphere players sink or swim. It all comes to a head on the 16th hole. A short par three with stadium sized grandstands all around. So raucous are the crowds on this hole that players once tried to keep them on side by throwing all sorts of goodies into the stands. That has been banned now so only good shots will keep the baying masses at ease.

Brooks Koepka tamed both the 16th hole and the exciting finish to win by a solitary shot here and he makes the first defence of a PGA Tour title this week. He is 20/1 to make a successful defence.

TPC Scottsdale underwent some renovations before last year’s tournament but in truth not a whole lot changed. The scoring was slightly lower and drives were a bit shorter but not too many other statistics stood out as a discernible change from previous layouts.

The course is a par 71 which measures 7,266 yards but we’re in the desert here so it doesn’t play every one of those yards. There is no real advantage in accuracy or length on this course. It tests all parts of a game. Usually the best player on the week wins. If there are anything traits to take note of then scrambling and putting might be the difference but a good all round game should go well here.

The finish to this course is particularly appealing. The 16th hole is a great par 3 in the intimidating atmosphere with the 17th hole a drivable par four with water in play and then the last hole is a really daunting par four with water all down the left hand side and no nice lies if you miss the fairway to the right so plenty of drama will take place down the stretch on Sunday.

Bubba Watson has a couple of runners up finishes in this tournament so he is probably a worthy favourite but he has chucked this event away before and while he seems to have matured since then he does still have his strange days. He’s 12/1 to win but there’s better value around for me.

Rickie Fowler is 16/1 to put last week’s missed cut behind him and win for the second time in three weeks while Brandt Snedeker is 18/1 to back up last week’s win with another one here. Koepka is 20/1 and then it is Hideki Matsuyama who is a 25/1 shot. It is 28/1 bar those in a competitive betting heat.

My first pick this week is a player I’ve been keen on for well over a year now and we are finally seeing why this season. That is Kevin Kisner.

Kisner arrives in Phoenix leading the FedEx Cup standings and that is no fluke. Not only has he won his first PGA Tour title at the RSM Classic prior to Christmas but he was runner up in the HSBC Champions in China and actually has four straight top nine finishes on tour this year.

Kisner ranks high in all the key statistics be it greens hit, strokes gained putting or his all-around game and while his form on this course might not be what he would like, never has he teed it up in the form he is in right now so I really fancy Kisner to go very close on Sunday.

My second pick has also won a tournament this season already and that is Jason Dufner. Dufner winning a tournament doesn’t necessarily surprise me but winning a shootout like the CareerBuilder Challenge did.

The immediate thing to jump out at that tournament was his putting and given the never in doubt, always solid and reliable tee to green game he possesses if he putts to that level this week he’s going to go very close.

Dufner is a confident animal at the minute and that confidence can see him roll back to the years and the sort of form that saw him to a runner up finish here in 2010 and another top 10 finish a year later.

The man who followed Dufner home in the CareerBuilder is of interest to me too. That is David Lingmerth, another really solid golfer. That tournament was the Swede’s fourth top 15 finish of the season so he is putting together yet another extremely competitive campaign.

Lingmerth is currently ninth in the all-around ranking on the PGA Tour and that really is a true reflection of the quality he has in his ball striking right now. He is also safely inside the top 30 in par 4 scoring which could be critical this week and with his long game in such good shape I’m expecting him to go close once again.

I’m not sure how much we can take out of the final round from last week because conditions in that were inferiorly more difficult than anything that will be experienced this week but there has to be some sort of significance in Robert Streb’s final round of level par on a day where scoring in the 80s was no disgrace.

At the very least it shows how in control of his golf ball he must have been and that is a big thing this week so I’m going to take the American here. He hits a lot of greens and holes a lot of putts which is an ideal combination for this golf course. What is more is he made the top 10 here on debut last year and looks like he is swinging it well enough to build on that this week.

Even if his final round last week means nothing this week he will have taken a lot of confidence from it and that is confidence he can use to his advantage over the four days of this event.

Back K.Kisner to win Waste Management Phoenix Open (e/w) for a 1/10 stake at 29.00 with Paddy Power (1/5 1-7)

Back J.Dufner to win Waste Management Phoenix Open (e/w) for a 1/10 stake at 29.00 with Paddy Power (1/5 1-7)

Back D.Lingmerth to win Waste Management Phoenix Open (e/w) for a 1/10 stake at 46.00 with Stan James (1/4 1-6)

Back R.Streb to win Waste Management Phoenix Open (e/w) for a 0.5/10 stake at 67.00 with Paddy Power (1/5 1-7)

Premier League Darts – Tournament Outright Betting Preview

The new season of Premier League Darts gets underway on Thursday when 16 weeks of action kicks off in Leeds with the top 10 players in the PDC lined up for the nationwide tour which for the first time includes a trip to Rotterdam along the way.

Once again 10 lucky dartists will battle it out over nine weeks of intense competition every Thursday night with the top eight after the nine weeks progressing to the second half of the season and with the aim of winning the title at the o2 Arena in London in May.

Each match in the group phase of the tournament is the best of 12 legs so it is relatively short course darts and with everyone playing each other in the initial stage of the tournament every night is certain to be full of quality.

The 10 men who received their invitation letters in the post are Michael van Gerwen, Gary Anderson, Adrian Lewis, Phil Taylor, Peter Wright, James Wade, Robert Thornton, Dave Chisnall, Michael Smith and Raymond Barneveld.

As you would expect with a tournament of this nature there are an awful lot of pre-season markets priced up. Some of them don’t interest me given that we will be having our money tied up for three months but some certainly do and the first place to start is on the event winner.

This is a market which will run all tournament so we can dip in and out of it throughout the event to get a couple of players onside and create a decent book to head to the o2 with but I’m happy to get involved in it before the off too.

Michael van Gerwen is the obvious favourite for this tournament but this is slightly different to every other event in the year. It would be arguably darts’ biggest shock ever if MVG doesn’t make the semi-final but as we saw last year that is no guarantee he wins the tournament.

He made the final 12 months ago but found Gary Anderson too good for him and over a relatively short 21 leg distance straight after an even shorter best of 19 leg semi-final he isn’t a complete certainty at the o2 given the quality of opponent he’ll be facing.

That said he’s 5/4 now and as near a certainty to be a semi-finalist as there is and he’ll be odds on when he gets to the o2 so you can argue there’s value on the green machine for those who look to lay off down the line.

Gary Anderson won the World Championship in 2015 and four months later won the Premier League and he is already halfway to that double again this year. On his day Anderson is as good as anyone in the game if not better and we’ve seen the evidence of that over the last 18 months or so.

Anderson is top quality and I couldn’t put anyone off him at 4/1 but I’d rather know he doesn’t face MVG in the semi-final before doing my dough even if it means that I have to take a shorter price.

Based on the weekend in Milton Keynes anyone writing Phil Taylor off should clearly think again. That said he might not be at his best throughout this tournament as he alluded to after his defeat in the World Championship so his 7/1 quote is probably fair.

If he can win enough matches to get to the o2 he’ll be a big threat once he’s there but we saw under extreme pressure at The Masters that he isn’t the man he once was when the heat cranks up and given that he never even made the o2 last year I’ll pass him by here.

I’ve pretty much given MVG and Anderson two of the semi-final spots but that still leaves two spots available and in my eyes they will go to two of Taylor, Adrian Lewis, Peter Wright, Dave Chisnall or Raymond Barneveld.

I keep thinking Lewis should do better in this tournament than he has in previous years and he rarely does. Whatever it is this event just doesn’t sit kindly with him so I’ll pass him by. I’m a big Peter Wright fan but he seems to be one of those players who always plays well against the big names but they raise their game and beat him. A perennial unlucky nearly man if you like.

Chisnall cruised into the semi-finals of this last year and if he’s able to sustain his finishing for 15 weeks it would be a brave man to think he won’t this year but even now that is a big if in such esteemed company.

One man whose game I have no issues with is Raymond Barneveld and unlike some players this tournament is perfectly suited for him. He only has to turn up for one match a week and then disappear into his own obscurity again which is how he likes it as opposed to the weekend tournaments which are quickfire and lengthy and stamina zapping.

Barneveld’s big tournament pedigree has never been in question. He was a semi-finalist in this tournament last year as well as in the Grand Slam of Darts and he also made the semi-final in the World Championship so we know he can perform on the big stages against the big names.

He’s a huge 28/1 to regain the title he won in 2014 and if he can make the semi-final that will look a huge price. Barneveld’s scoring has been much more solid in the last couple of months and we saw at Ally Pally just how good his finishing is. That’s a combination that can take him close to another Premier League title.

That’s the top half dealt with but there is a market for the bottom of the table too as well as one for the relegation after the nine weeks and it is the latter I’m taking a bet in.

Two will be relegated on Judgement Night in Cardiff. Robert Thornton is odds on to be one to go but the other spot odds wise appears to be between Barneveld, Wade, Smith and Chisnall.

I’ve already made the case for Barneveld and Chisnall has too much scoring power to be relegated so I think the other spot, if indeed Thornton does go, is between James Wade and Michael Smith and it is the latter that I fear for the most here.

Make no mistake Michael Smith is a class act and one who very much belongs in this company but the only man in the field he has a winning record against is Adrian Lewis. He is 50/50 against Robert Thornton but then he has a losing record against the other seven men and that isn’t good.

We’ve seen in the last few tournaments that for all his scoring power when he comes up against the elite he misses a double or two too many and in a race to seven that’s going to kill you over nine weeks. Wade might not have the scoring power of some but he’s solid under pressure and takes his chances and that can be the reason why Smith may fail to make it beyond Judgement Day.

The other market I’m interested in is the Most 180s market. Taylor and Wade aside we’ve got the heaviest scorers in the game on show here so 180s are a given but I’m not sure anyone will outscore Dave Chisnall in this tournament.

MVG and Anderson are heavy scorers in their own right but they will probably rack up a number of one sided wins which might detract from the time they have to hit 180s whereas Chisnall tends to win his matches a little closer which is perfect.

We only have to look at The Masters last weekend to see the damage Chisnall does to the 60 these days but that isn’t a rare occasion currently. He is often one of the heavier scorers in the competition.

Of course we’re finished if he doesn’t make it past Judgement Night but I really think he will so the 11/2 on Chisnall to hit the most 180s in the tournament looks a solid punt to me this season.

Back R.Barneveld to win Premier League Darts (e/w) for a 1/10 stake at 29.00 with Betway (1/3 1-2)

Back M.Smith to be eliminated for a 3/10 stake at 4.00 with William Hill

Back D.Chisnall Most Tournament 180s for a 2/10 stake at 6.50 with Bet365

Dubai Desert Classic – Tournament Outright Betting Preview

It is the final week of the Desert Swing on the European Tour this week as Dubai hosts its first event of the season when the Dubai Desert Classic takes place.

After an excellent and exciting week in Qatar last week the attention ramps up a notch again this week with the inclusion of Rory McIlroy in the field and the Northern Irishman will aim to defend the title having won it here 12 months ago.

McIlroy is joined by some big names in Europe in this tournament not least in the form of Henrik Stenson, Martin Kaymer, Graeme McDowell and Lee Westwood among others.

The Majlis course at the Emirates Golf Club in Dubai is the venue for this week’s tournament, as it has been for much of the event’s existence. The course is a par 72 which measures 7,301 yards but as ever it doesn’t play to that yardage with the ball travelling further in the dry air.

This track is faster and firmer than the others on the Desert Swing which means it doesn’t necessarily favour the bombers or the longer hitters. Although the rough isn’t as nasty as some on Tour it still helps to be in the fairways to fire into these firm greens.

Greens in regulation is a key thing this week. The greens are very fast and will roll smoothly but any wayward shots won’t hold the putting surfaces so clean ball striking is very much the order of the day too.

Rory McIlroy is clearly the obvious favourite this week and it is hard to argue with that but he’ll need to putt well this week I suspect if he is going to defend his title. Often playing in last week’s Qatar Masters is a big thing here and Rory skipped that tournament so there might be one or two with better preparation than him going into the week.

I’m going with three main bets this week and the first of those is in the form of Andy Sullivan. The Englishman is really kicking on in his career now after a great year in 2015 and while he hasn’t won this season yet his game looks in really good order.

He went relatively well in the Nedbank before taking the halfway lead in Abu Dhabi a couple of weeks ago. He faded in the second half of the tournament but that was a solid effort and gives him something to build on.

We know he goes well in the desert by the way he laid it down to McIlroy in the Dubai World Championship last year and that performance also showed us that he doesn’t melt under the pressure of the big name company.

This course should suit the greens in regulation machine perfectly and if he holes some putts he’s a major player this week.

Only one man hit more greens in regulation last week than Thorbjorn Olesen and that is encouraging for both the Dane and myself as he’s my second pick this week.

I don’t need to wax lyrical about him again after doing so last week but I was so impressed with his temperament and his all round play in Qatar last week that I’m going to chance him again here.

Olesen has a couple of top five finishes around here in the past and the lack of premium on hitting the fairways this week should really assist him even more than it did last week. I’m confident we’ll get another run out of the Danish player.

My final main pick is Graeme McDowell. Those who are looking for long players won’t get near McDowell but I’m a huge fan and I can’t ignore him here.

It is a fair comment to say Gmac isn’t the longest in the field but this isn’t a long golf course and with his game back in good order after a strong end to the last European Tour season and a PGA Tour win under his belt this season I’m more than happy to get involved in McDowell.

When it is greens in regulation you want you always get more than your fair share of them with McDowell and now that we know the putter is co-operating I’m expecting him to build on his top 10 from here last year and launch a real title bid.

I’m also going to have a couple of smaller bets on a couple of outsiders, the first of which being a guy who must feel like this is his home course given his record here. That is Stephen Gallacher.

Gallacher won this tournament in 2013 and 2014 and he was third and second in the two years either side of that so he has effectively only been beaten by three men in four years here which is an incredible record.

You’d be right to say his form has completely gone but it had last year too and he still managed to finish third. There is clearly something about this course that suits his eye line and whatever it is I’m going to pay to see if it can bring the best out of him again this week.

Finally I’m going with the Frenchman who went fairly well last week in Gregory Bourdy. Nobody hit more greens in regulation than Bourdy in Qatar which in that wind was no mean effort and in much calmer conditions this week he should kick on again.

Bourdy is a wonderful striker of the ball and I believe his best performances come on quicker greens where he has no issue with the pace of putts. If that theory is true then he can add another strong effort to last week’s top 15 finish which would have been a lot better had he not had issues with the putter when the wind was blowing.

Back A.Sullivan to win Dubai Desert Classic (e/w) for a 1/10 stake at 31.00 with Stan James (1/4 1-5)

Back T.Olesen to win Dubai Desert Classic (e/w) for a 1/10 stake at 34.00 with Ladbrokes (1/4 1-5)

Back G.McDowell to win Dubai Desert Classic (e/w) for a 1/10 stake at 51.00 with Bet365 (1/4 1-5)

Back S.Gallacher to win Dubai Desert Classic (e/w) for a 0.5/10 stake at 67.00 with BetVictor (1/4 1-5)

Back G.Bourdy to win Dubai Desert Classic (e/w) for a 0.5/10 stake at 126.00 with BetVictor (1/4 1-5)